West Bengal Politics Possibilities: Is TMC on the verge of extinction? Why is so much opposition increasing within the party regarding Abhishek Banerjee? Can rebel MPs and MLAs form a new group? Will TMC’s strength decrease in INDIA alliance? What is going to happen next in West Bengal politics?
TMC Crisis 10 Major Scenarios: Amidst the uproar in the politics of West Bengal, now Mamata Banerjee’s party Trinamool Congress (TMC) seems to be completely disintegrating. Old loyal and rebel leaders of the party are openly saying that Mamata Didi has become ‘Dhritarashtra’ in the affair of her nephew Abhishek Banerjee and because of this the entire party has been ruined. The situation is that Mamata Banerjee now has only 22 MLAs left in the Assembly and only 8 MPs in the Lok Sabha. After this huge breakdown, there is only one question in everyone’s mind, what will happen next? Let us understand what is going on in TMC now and what are the 10 big possibilities being created in the coming days…
4 big shocks that shook the politics of Bengal
- Mamata Banerjee’s most important MP Kalyan Banerjee has directly given an ultimatum to Didi that ‘either stay with me or with Abhishek.’ He described Abhishek as arrogant and said that he does not know how to respect elders.
- Rajya Sabha MP Prakash Chik Badaik resigned saying, ‘I am not old yet, look ahead.’ Before him, Sukhendu Shekhar and Sushmita Dev had also left the party.
- TMC’s rebel leader Riju Dutta even said that ‘Abhishek Banerjee is a person who was not even worthy of becoming a counsellor, but Mamata Banerjee, like Dhritarashtra, made him reach here with his eyes closed. Yuvraj (Abhishek) single-handedly ruined the entire party, made everyone his own and now the time has come to grind the mill in jail.
- The crux of the entire fight is an alleged fake signature case. Abhishek Banerjee, who is surrounded in this case, has not got any relief from the Calcutta High Court and he has to appear before the CID at Bhawani Bhawan in Kolkata at 6 pm today.
What next in TMC? Are there 10 big possibilities in the making?
Litmus test of anti-defection law
The rule states that those in rebellion must have at least two-thirds of the number, so that their membership is not lost. The rebels claim that 58 out of 80 MLAs are with them, which is more than two-thirds. Now it remains to be seen what decision the Assembly Speaker takes on this.
TMC may break further
Experts say that in politics, when people salute the rising sun, everyone is the first to jump from a sinking boat. The MLAs or MPs who are currently sitting quietly may also change sides depending on the direction of the wind. There may also be a stampede among big leaders at the district level.
Danger of TMC being wiped out in local elections
When there is fighting at the top in the party, the workers at the bottom become lethargic. Whatever by-elections or local body elections will be held in Bengal in the coming days, TMC may have to suffer huge losses because their vote bank will now be divided.
Mamta didi’s damage control plan
Experts say that Mamata Banerjee is not one of the leaders who accepts defeat. She can make a big offer to pacify the angry leaders. It is possible that they may remove some people from the organization and bring forward new faces so that the message goes to the public that the party is still alive.
New party or new group of rebels
If there is no agreement between Mamata Banerjee and the rebel group, then the rebel leaders can announce a new political party. This could be exactly what happened with Shiv Sena and NCP in Maharashtra.
Courts and legal battles intensify
Now the real battle can be fought on papers. Both Mamata Banerjee’s group and the rebel group can make rounds of the Election Commission and the courts to prove themselves as the ‘real TMC’.
Ruckus over Trinamool symbol
When there will be an uproar over the party’s claims, the biggest fight will be over who will retain the name ‘TMC’, its flag and election symbol. Will Mamata Banerjee group have control over it or will the rebel group snatch it?
BJP government will become stronger
BJP has already formed the government in West Bengal. Now 20 Lok Sabha MPs of TMC have announced their support to NDA in Delhi. This will further strengthen BJP’s position both at the Center and in the state.
Congress also keeps an eye on
According to political experts, even though Mamata Banerjee is knocking on the doorstep of Congress in Delhi, her party may also try to take political advantage of the ongoing crisis in TMC, which is why it is also keeping an eye on it.
TMC merger with Congress
Senior TMC leader Saugata Roy has given a big hint that ‘it is necessary to work with Congress, whether there will be a merger or alliance, we will see further.’ Since Mamata and Abhishek are continuously meeting Sonia-Rahul Gandhi, it is possible that TMC may join Congress back to save its existence.