Whose government will be formed in Maharashtra this time? Before the results, political calculations are being set regarding this. It is being said that if the results are as per the exit polls, there can be a major political upheaval in the state. The main reason for this is the Chief Minister’s chair. For the first time in Maharashtra politics, all the parties are engaged in the struggle to become the Chief Minister. In such a situation, there is talk of 5 political scenarios being created after the elections from Mumbai to Delhi.
In this special story, let us understand all those 5 post-election scenarios in detail…
Scenario-1: It remains as it is
If any one alliance gets an overwhelming majority in the Maharashtra elections, then the possibilities of political upheaval will almost be eliminated. At present, on one side there is an alliance of BJP, Ajit Pawar and Eknath Shinde, while on the other side, Congress, Uddhav Thackeray and Sharad Pawar are contesting the elections under the agreement.
There has been no change in the structure of their alliance since 2023. In 2019, while there was an alliance of Shiv Sena-BJP, Congress had contested the elections with NCP.
Scenario- 2: Ajit can turn around
If in the election results BJP and Shinde’s forces stay away from forming the government together and the key to power is in the hands of Ajit, then a new scenario can be created. Ajit has been expressing his desire to become Chief Minister for a long time. After the elections, his supporters have also put up posters in this regard.
Ajit had joined BJP in 2019, but later reversed course under pressure from his uncle. In such a situation, it is being said that this time if some big game happens then Ajit Pawar can turn again.
Scenario-3: Uddhav returns to BJP
A scenario is also being created for Uddhav Thackeray’s return to BJP. It is being said that if BJP becomes the single largest party and Uddhav comes into the role of kingmaker, then a fresh agreement can be reached between the two.
Before the assembly elections, BJP’s Devendra Fadnavis had also hinted at this. Fadnavis had said that anything can happen in politics. He was asked the question whether Uddhav can come back after the elections?
Uddhav Thackeray had rebelled in 2019 only to become the Chief Minister. In Bihar, BJP has pacified the rebel Chirag Paswan and brought him back into its fold.
Scenario-4: Dominance of small parties
Till now, coalition politics has dominated in Maharashtra. Independents or small parties have never been able to become a factor, but this time the way the results are being reported, the political influence of independents and small parties may increase.
Prakash Ambedkar of Bahujan Vikas Aghadi has openly said about joining the government. Mahavikas Aghadi is also busy in recruiting those independents whose chances of victory seem higher.
Scenario-5: Sharad can also do sports
This time everyone’s eyes are also on Sharad Pawar, who snatched power from the hands of Bharatiya Janata Party in 2019. If Pawar is successful in maintaining the record of last time, then he can stake his claim on the post of CM.
Pawar has surprised everyone by supporting BJP in 2014. In such a situation, it is being said that Pawar can move in any direction for the post of CM. 84 year old Sharad Pawar has been away from the CM’s chair for the last 29 years.
Close contest in exit polls
If we look at all the exit polls that have come out so far regarding Maharashtra, this time a close fight is being seen in Maharashtra. Both Mahavikas Aghadi and Mahayuti do not seem to be getting a clear majority. Mahavikas Aghadi includes Congress, NCP-Sharad and Shiv Sena-Uddhav.
Similarly, BJP, NCP-Ajit and Shiv Sena-Shinde are included in the grand alliance. In Maharashtra, which has 288 seats, 145 MLAs are required to form the government.
