Will India become the next ‘China’ in 2026?
The year 2025 is at its final stage and if we look at the last five years, the picture of India’s manufacturing has completely changed. Things which once existed only on paper, are now becoming reality. The iPhone in your hand today being made in India, companies like Ford coming back to set up engine plants and South Korean giants like LG considering making India their new destination, all these are not mere coincidences. This is a sign that some fundamental and big changes are taking place in the Indian economy. As we step into 2026, there is only one question in everyone’s mind, be it policy makers or common investors, will 2026 be the year when India will truly be on the path to becoming a manufacturing superpower like China?
India will decide its direction
To understand India’s manufacturing boom, we need to decide our own direction and not copy China. China’s model was based on cheap labor and heavy government support, but the path is different for India. The biggest change is visible in the electronics sector. By the end of 2025, India will no longer be just an assembly line for Apple, but will become a major production center. The effect of this has been that foreign suppliers who were earlier hesitant to come to India, are now ready to invest and set up their factories here. But the real game will change when the small parts used inside the mobile, like camera module and display, will also start being manufactured here. If in 2026 we move beyond just assembling phones to making components, it will be the same moment for India as the beginning of the consumer electronics boom was for China.
Chip and battery are the new backbone
Making semiconductors i.e. chips is India’s riskiest but most courageous step. The worldwide shortage of chips and breakdown of the supply chain has taught us how important it is to have our own chips. Success in 2026 will not be measured by how many chips we make, but by whether we have created a complete ecosystem? If the engineers designing chips, the companies providing raw materials and the electronics companies using them start working together, then India’s effort will be considered successful.
Along with this, battery manufacturing and processing of rare earth minerals are also equally important. Be it electric vehicles or solar panels installed at home, energy storage is the biggest need today. If India strengthens its hold in these areas, we will be able to reduce our dependence on China and lay the foundation of a new industrial revolution.
A golden opportunity for India
China’s success story included millions of farmers working in factories. The situation in India is a little different. Our population is young, but skills shortage remains a challenge. Additionally, the use of robots and automation has increased in today’s factories, making it difficult to create jobs on the same scale as before.
Therefore, 2026 will witness whether these new factories are able to provide employment to our youth on a large scale or not. The real test of the new labor policy and apprenticeship schemes will come now. If these companies start providing permanent jobs instead of just hiring contract labor and link vocational training with the needs of the industry, it will be the biggest win for the common Indian.
There is a golden opportunity for India at the global level also. The world is looking for an alternative to China and India’s trade deals with big countries like America are considered almost certain. These agreements will open new markets for Indian goods. 2026 may not be the year when we become the ‘next China’ overnight, but it can definitely be the year when India cements its place as a strong and self-reliant manufacturing powerhouse on its own terms, at its own pace.
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