New Delhi [India]: LPG losses incurred by oil marketing companies (OMCs) are expected to decrease by around 45 per cent in FY26 if crude oil prices remain stable at USD 65 per barrel, according to a report by CareEdge Ratings.
The report stated that the cumulative LPG under-recoveries are likely to reduce significantly next fiscal year, mainly due to a mix of higher retail prices and lower international LPG prices.
It said “Cumulatively, the LPG under-recoveries are expected to decrease by ~45% in FY26 if crude oil prices remain around USD 65/bbl”.
These under-recoveries refer to the losses suffered by oil companies when they sell LPG cylinders below their cost price, as prices are regulated by the government to keep cooking gas affordable for households.
In India, around 90 per cent of LPG consumption is used for household cooking, while the remaining 10 per cent is used in industrial, commercial, and automotive sectors.
Over the last ten years, the number of domestic LPG consumers has doubled, reaching approximately 33 crores as of April 1, 2025.
The report mentioned that due to this sharp rise in consumers, LPG consumption has grown faster than domestic production. Indian refiners have not increased LPG output enough to meet demand, leading to a greater reliance on imports.
In FY25, around 60 per cent of the domestic LPG requirement was met through imports, compared to about 46 per cent a decade ago.
In FY25, oil marketing companies suffered significant LPG under-recoveries of nearly Rs 220 per 14.2 kg cylinder. This resulted in a total loss of Rs 41,270 crore for the three major OMCs combined, putting pressure on their profitability.