Chennai: As the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections approach, the results of a new opinion poll conducted by ‘Lok Poll’ have been released, projecting a resounding victory for the DMK alliance while predicting significant setbacks for the AIADMK alliance, Vijay’s TVK, and Seeman’s Naam Tamilar Katchi.
Lok Poll conducted this opinion survey specifically for the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections, gathering feedback from a total of 117,000 respondents—approximately 500 individuals per constituency. The results were released today, offering a snapshot of voter sentiment ahead of the April 23 polls.
Lok Poll Survey Tamil Nadu 2026: DMK alliance poised for massive victory
According to the findings, the DMK alliance is projected to win between 181 and 189 constituencies, securing approximately 40.1 percent of the total votes. The survey indicates that the ruling coalition is set to achieve a massive victory and will once again capture power in the Tamil Nadu Assembly.
AIADMK alliance faces setback
The survey has delivered a shock to the AIADMK alliance, projecting it will win only between 38 and 42 constituencies, securing just 29 percent of the votes. This represents a significant decline from its previous performance and would place the opposition far behind the ruling coalition.
Who is the most preferred CM face in #Tamilnadu?
This is what our survey says pic.twitter.com/P3r2qJKIg0
— Lok Poll (@LokPoll) April 1, 2026
TVK and NTK projections
Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam, a party newly launched in Tamil Nadu, is projected to win between 8 and 10 constituencies, securing up to 23.9 percent of the votes. Meanwhile, Seeman’s Naam Tamilar Katchi—contesting independently—is predicted not to win a single seat, securing a mere 4.9 percent of the votes. This comes despite the party’s confidence that Seeman would emerge victorious in the Karaikudi constituency, his home district of Sivaganga.
Tamil Nadu Election 2026: Five-way contest
The Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election features a five-way contest involving the DMK alliance, the AIADMK alliance, Seeman’s Naam Tamilar Katchi, Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam, and the Ramadoss–Sasikala alliance. The direct electoral battle lies primarily between the DMK alliance and the AIADMK alliance. The DMK is campaigning vigorously with the aim of retaining power, while the AIADMK is campaigning with equal intensity in its bid to form the government once again.
Other political outfits are projected to secure up to 2.1 percent of the votes, with none predicted to emerge victorious. The votes are set to be counted and the results announced on May 4.