A close contest is considered certain in the Keoti assembly elections 2025. History of the seat won by 29 votes, 30% Muslim and 14% Dalit voters – will BJP be able to save its seat or will RJD make a big comeback? The mystery continues…
Keoti Assembly Election 2025: Keoti Assembly Election 2025 is one of the hottest seats in Bihar. Every election result here decides the direction of Bihar’s politics. This seat of Darbhanga district has always been a ground of tough competition between BJP and RJD. This also happened in the electoral history here when the decision of victory or defeat was decided by only 29 votes. This is the reason why every time Keoti seat becomes the center of politics of entire Bihar.
What is caste equality in Keoti Assembly?
There are about 2.89 lakh voters here, of which Muslim voters are about 30.9% (89,494 voters) and Dalit voters are about 14.24% (41,243 voters). These voters have been changing the equation in every election. Now the question is, in whose favor will the public give its verdict in 2025 – BJP or RJD?
Win by 29 votes in 2010: Will history repeat itself?
In the 2010 elections, BJP’s Ashok Kumar Yadav and RJD’s Faraz Fatmi were face to face on Keoti seat. The results were so close that BJP could win by only 29 votes. Ashok Kumar Yadav got 45,791 votes while Faraz Fatmi got 45,762 votes. This was the most exciting contest in the history of Bihar assembly elections.
Why did RJD win in 2015?
The 2015 elections were fought entirely in the wave of the Grand Alliance. This time RJD gave ticket to Faraz Fatmi and he defeated Ashok Kumar Yadav of BJP. Faraz Fatmi got 68,601 votes while Ashok Kumar Yadav got 60,771 votes. That means the difference between victory and defeat was 7,830 votes. In this election, polarization of Muslim and Yadav voters decided the victory of RJD.
Why did RJD lose and BJP win in 2020?
The 2020 elections proved to be a big turning point for BJP. This time BJP made Dr. Murari Mohan Jha its candidate. He defeated RJD’s senior leader and former minister Abdul Bari Siddiqui. Murari Mohan Jha got 76,372 votes while Abdul Bari Siddiqui got 71,246 votes. That means the difference was 5,126 votes. NDA’s strong election strategy and Modi-Nitish factor ensured BJP’s victory here.
Will the equation change again in 2025?
The voting percentage in Keoti Assembly has always been between 54-56%. In 2020 it was 56.46%. The outcome will decide which way the major part of Muslim and Dalit voters will go. Now the question is whether BJP will be able to repeat its victory or RJD will make a comeback once again?
Election graph of Keoti assembly
- 2010: BJP won (margin of 29 votes)
- 2015: RJD won (margin of 7,830 votes)
- 2020: BJP won (margin of 5,126 votes)
Important thing: 41,243 Dalit voters play a decisive role in every election here. It is not yet clear whether this vote bank will go towards BJP, RJD or some new equation in 2025. If we look at the figures, sometimes BJP wins the Keoti seat and sometimes RJD wins. The results here are always full of suspense. This is why the 2025 elections are going to be very interesting.