Gold or share on Diwali … where to invest? Will surprise 15 years figure

Gold or share on Diwali … where to invest?

Gold has done wonders in the last one year. Despite all the uncertainties in the market, its return was shocking to everyone. If we talk about today i.e. 25 September 2025, then gold has reached the level of ₹ 1,13,150 per 10 grams. Since the beginning of the year, gold has gained ₹ 34,720 i.e. about 58.11%. This is the best gold performance in the last 10 years. This lead has also surpassed the return of 31.22% of 2020 and 18.13% of 2023. On the other hand, the stock market did not remain as strong. In the last one year, Nifty did not catch special pace.

Now that Diwali is near, then a question is in the mind of every investor, where to invest this time, in gold or in the stock market? To know the correct answer, we have to look at the figures of the last 15 years, especially to understand who has given gold and Nifty 50, how much return. This will help to decide what a better investment option can be this time.

Gold became a better investment option

Suppose you would have invested Rs 10,000 in gold every Diwali since 2010, so a total of Rs 1.5 lakh would have been invested by now. But today the value of this investment would have increased to about 4.47 lakh rupees. On the other hand, if you had invested the same money, that is, Rs 10,000 every year, in ETF of Nifty 50, then your total amount would have been around Rs 3.72 lakh today.

Gold has been ahead even in the last 5 years

If you look at the figures of recent 5 years, then gold has also surpassed the Nifty here. In these five years, the annual growth rate (CAGR) of gold was 16.1%, while the Nifty 50 gave a gain of 13.8%. Not only this, even if we talk about the last 10 years, gold has been ahead. During this time the gold Cagr was 15.1%, while the Nifty gave a return of 12.3%.

Gold vs Nifty Return

After all, why is sleeping so shining?

For some time, there has been a tremendous rise in gold prices. The biggest reason for this is softening in the policies of the American Federal Reserve, increasing the gold reserve of central banks around the world and the ever increasing geopolitical stress in the world. In these conditions, investors are looking for an option that is safe, and gold has always been considered a means of safe haven.

What do experts say?

Abhishek Khudania, Senior Executive Director (Wealth) of Client Associates, believes that Diwali-by-Diwali gold has been giving better returns than the stock market for the last four years. He says that in view of the current environment, this speed of gold can remain at least one more year. However, he also believes that now the difference between stock market and gold returns can gradually decrease.

The commodity and currency analyst of Choice Broking Aamir Mavda says that geopolitical conditions are constantly changing. Due to tariff war and global stress, there is upheaval in markets around the world. Recently, NATO stopped Russia’s ships near Estonia, causing more controversy to increase. Between all this, gold still remains a reliable and attractive investment option.

How much height can gold go?

Goldman Sachs believes that if investors worldwide also put a little part of their treasury holding in gold, then the price of gold can reach $ 5,000 an ounce. At the same time, Chris Wood, Global Head of Equity Strategy of Jeffers, has increased the target of gold further to $ 6,600 per ounce. Whereas now its price is around $ 3,745 an ounce.

Disclaimer: This article is only for information and should not be considered as an investment advice in any way. TV9 India suggests its readers and spectators to consult their financial advisors before taking any decision related to money.

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