Humayun Kabir has challenged TMC in Murshidabad by launching Janata Unnayan Party (JUP). Expelled TMC MLA Kabir will contest 2026 elections targeting Muslim voters. While TMC will suffer the biggest loss due to this, BJP will get indirect benefit.
Murshidabad: 66% Muslim
Murshidabad has a 66% Muslim population, where TMC won 7 out of 9 seats in the 2021 assembly elections. Kabir’s JUP can break this vote bank by 20-30%.
New Delhi. Suspended MLA Humayun Kabir from Mamata Banerjee’s party Trinamool Congress (TMC) announced his new party ‘Janata Unnayan’ on Monday 22 December. Speaking at a public meeting held in Beldanga, he said, our party will contest the West Bengal Assembly elections to be held in 2026. However, he has not yet clearly stated how many seats his party will contest. Well, whatever may be the case, BJP may get direct benefit from Kabir forming a new party. How, let us know.
Which party will get the biggest benefit?
BJP seems to be getting the biggest benefit from Humayun Kabir forming a new party. Actually, Kabir’s party will take away Muslim votes from TMC, which will strengthen BJP’s Hindu vote. Kabir has praised PM Modi and supported the statement of RSS Chief Bhagwat, which is a positive sign for BJP. The new party is claiming victory on 100 seats, which will affect the BJP-TMC contest somewhere.
Who will suffer the biggest loss?
TMC will suffer the most if Kabir forms a new party because Humayun Kabir is breaking TMC’s vote bank in the Muslim-dominated Murshidabad district, where TMC had a strong hold in 2021. By launching the party in Beldanga, Kabir has openly challenged Mamata Banerjee that she will not allow TMC to win even a single seat in Murshidabad. Parties like AIMIM may also suffer losses due to Muslim vote split.
Understand vote bank effect in this way..
| Party | Effect | Reason |
| TMC | big loss | Muslim voters slipping in Murshidabad |
| BJP | indirect benefits | TMC weakened due to vote split |
| Janata Unnayan Party (JUP) | new base | Muslim youth+dissatisfied TMC supporters |
| AIMIM | minor damage | Impact on Owaisi supporters |
BJP said- Mamta deliberately made Humayun form the party
However, BJP national spokesperson Shahnawaz Hussain says, “Humayun Kabir is an agent of TMC. Mamata Banerjee has deliberately made Humayun Kabir form a new party so that Muslim votes are polarized and Muslim voters angry with Mamata should not go to the opposition under any circumstances, but should separate. This entire script has been written by Mamata Banerjee.