Bihar 2025 Election: Chhath & Sir Impact? Whether the impact of the migrant voters and SIR’s new voter list returning to Chhath Mahaparva in Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 will be in favor of Nitish-NDA or is there a big upset in the election?
Bihar Assembly Election 2025: Bihar assembly elections are near 2025 and this time the election time has been scheduled on 6 and 11 November, immediately after Chhath Mahaparva. This time has always been special for the politics of Bihar. The previous records suggest that the voting pattern of migrant Biharis returning during Chhath has been directly impacting the election results. Since 2005, in every assembly elections, voting has increased around Chhath Mahaparva and festivals, and NDA and Nitish Kumar have benefited the most.
How many new voters were added due to SIR?
This time, due to Sir (Special Summary Revision), there have been major changes in the voter list. In total, 21 lakh new voters have been added, while some have also been cut off from external voters list. In such a situation, the question arises whether Chhath Mahaparva and SIR together will change the electoral equation this time or will the NDA’s pan again be heavy?
Chhath Mahaparva and Bihar elections: Why does the vote percentage grow?
Millions of migrants return to their homes on Chhath Mahaparva. This is the time of voter activism in Bihar. People definitely vote despite being busy with the preparations for the festival. In the last elections, it has been clearly seen that migrant voters have been mostly supporters of NDA. For example, in the October-November 2005 election, the vote percentage at Chhath was around 45%, which increased to 52% in 2010. The question arises-this time the process of adding SIR and new voters will increase the vote percentage further, and will the same party take advantage of this who has always got the support of these migrant voters?
Bihar elections after SIR: What will show new voter data?
SIR i.e. Special Summary Revision has become a big issue of electoral discussion this time. Under this, massive amendments have been made in the voter list. Opposition parties have made an issue, calling it a case of vote theft, while the ruling NDA considers it a fair process. Electoral strategists like Prashant Kishore say that the trends of migrant voters cannot be in favor of NDA as before. The question is this: Will the outside voters be helpful for JDU-BJP even after SIR or will a new suspense be made in the election?
Will migrant voters play benefits again for NDA?
In October-November 2005, the NDA got the impact of migrant voters in the voting held during Chhath Mahaparva. That year JDU got 88 seats and BJP got 55 seats. The impact of RJD decreased to 54 seats. After this, in the elections of 2010, 2015 and 2020, voting increased during Chhath Mahaparva and NDA benefited. The question here is: Will the voting pattern of migrant Biharis be the same in 2025 or will the SIR and new voter equation change the entire map of the election?
Confluence of festival and democracy
Election in Bihar is not just a matter of voting, but is a confluence of festivals and politics. During the four days of Chhath Mahaparva, people are not only busy with their family and traditions, but this time is also important for electoral campaigning and strategy. The election days between Chhath Mahaparva and Diwali have always seen heavy voting. In the year 2020, the vote share increased to 57% at the time of Chhath, giving the NDA 125 seats. This time the same pattern is expected to be repeated, but the change of SIR has created uncertainty in the electoral equation.
2025 elections: Who will benefit, who will be behind?
- NDA (JDU+BJP): According to the previous record, his vote share has increased during Chhath Mahaparva.
- Grand Alliance (RJD+Congress+other): This time their pan may be strong based on SIR and new voter data.
- Migrant voters: Their tendency and share will decide who takes advantage of.
- This time the question is: Will the confluence of Chhath Mahaparva and Sir again benefit to the NDA or will you see a big upset in the election?
What do you say last record?
Chhath Mahaparva and SIR together are making Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 mysterious and suspenseful. Previous records suggest that the impact of migrant voters and festival has been in favor of NDA. But this time new voter data and SIR changes can change the entire map of election. Public eyes will be completely on the election results this time.