Mumbai: The RBI on Friday cut inflation projections for the current fiscal to 3.7 per cent from the earlier estimate of 4 per cent, as it expects core inflation to remain benign with the easing of international commodity prices.
The sub-4 per cent average retail inflation projection is the lowest in recent years.The RBI, which cut key policy rate by 50 basis points to 5.5 per cent, said that despite these favourable prognoses, it would remain watchful of weather-related uncertainties and still evolving tariff-related concerns with their attendant impact on global commodity prices.
The RBI, in its monetary policy announcement in April, had projected retail inflation to average 4 per cent in FY26.In its policy on Friday, RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra said assuming a normal monsoon, consumer price index (CPI) inflation for the financial year 2025-26 is now projected at 3.7 per cent, with June and September quarters at 2.9 per cent and 3.4 per cent, respectively. Inflation is projected at 3.9 per cent for the December quarter and 4.4 per cent for the March quarter.