Swiggy’s upcoming IPO has sparked interest among investors, but the grey market premium (GMP) suggests only modest listing gains amidst a broader market downturn.
Despite some improvement in its GMP since last week, Swiggy’s shares are currently showing limited upside in the grey market, primarily due to negative market sentiment. On Monday, the benchmark Sensex dropped nearly 942 points to a three-month low, and the Nifty closed below the 24,000 mark. These drops have cast a shadow over Swiggy’s anticipated listing, with the stock commanding a grey market premium of Rs 20-22, translating to a modest 5.64% premium over its issue price.
As tracked by Investorgain, a grey market tracker, Swiggy’s shares earlier had a GMP of Rs 18 on November 1, offering a minimal 4.62% premium. While the recent recovery in the GMP offers a glimmer of optimism, broader concerns, including urban demand slowdown and consistent foreign investor outflows, continue to dampen the market mood. Nonetheless, Swiggy’s strategic expansion into quick commerce-which now contributes 40% of its revenue-presents growth opportunities akin to those observed with competitor Zomato. Swiggy’s IPO, which runs from November 6 to November 8, arrives amidst this mix of tepid grey market outlook.
While grey market sentiments may be lukewarm, big investors are showing interest in Swiggy’s IPO. According to Reuters, which cited insider sources, notable investors like Norway’s sovereign wealth fund Norges Bank and Fidelity have placed bids valued at more than $15 billion, which is a significant 25 times the $605-million portion reserved for large investors. To accommodate market conditions, Swiggy has revised its valuation target from $15 billion to $11.3 billion, marking a 25% reduction.
The IPO has a price band of Rs 371-390 per share. The reduced valuation and adjusted price range reflect Swiggy’s aim to attract both large and retail investors despite a volatile financial environment.
Key IPO Details and Structure
Swiggy’s IPO consists of a fresh issue amounting to Rs 4,499 crore alongside an Offer for Sale (OFS) of 17,50,87,863 equity shares by existing shareholders. In terms of allocations, 75% of the issue is reserved for Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs), 15% for Non-Institutional Investors (NIIs), and the remaining 10% for retail investors. Eligible employees are being offered a Rs 25 discount per share as part of the employee reservation.
Swiggy’s financials reveal a company focused on growth but grappling with profitability. For the fiscal year 2024, Swiggy reported a net loss of Rs 2,350.24 crore, continuing to reflect negative earnings per share (EPS). As a result, traditional valuation metrics like the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio do not apply to this IPO.
About Swiggy
Since its inception in 2014, Swiggy has become a major player in India’s food delivery market and expanded its services through grocery deliveries, primarily under its Instamart brand. Swiggy’s business portfolio spans food delivery, quick commerce, out-of-home consumption, and various platform innovations, including Swiggy Genie (a courier service) and Swiggy Minis (small-scale food vendors).
In the financial year ending March 2024, Swiggy’s revenue jumped by 34% to Rs 11,247 crore from the previous year. Operational losses also declined from Rs 4,179.31 crore to Rs 2,350.24 crore. Swiggy’s nearest competitor, Zomato Ltd., has a significantly high price-to-earnings ratio of 634.50, which sets a lofty benchmark for valuation in the food delivery sector. However, Swiggy’s advantage lies in its growing quick commerce division, a high-margin area that could yield profitability in the coming years.
Key Dates and Takeaways for Investors
With the IPO set to open for public bidding on November 6, investors will be closely monitoring Swiggy’s GMP and other market cues. Swiggy’s revised valuation and the backing from institutional investors reflect strong confidence in its growth prospects despite immediate market challenges. Swiggy’s foothold in quick commerce and operational improvements make it a significant player in the food and grocery delivery industry in India.
