Nifty Infra: Anchored by government spending, PLI-led private capex revival, global supply-chain shifts, and manufacturing incentives, the Nifty Infrastructure Index has consistently outperformed the Nifty 50. Infrastructure-linked sectors are expected to see robust growth in the next five years, fuelled by stable order books and strong free-cash flow generation, according to the Smallcase report released on Tuesday, November 25.
Nifty Infrastructure Index has given over 14.5%, 82.8% and 181.2% returns over the past one, three, and five years. As per Motilal Oswal’s analysis, the Nifty Infrastructure has delivered returns of 10.5%, 41.5% and 100.3% over the same periods.
India Entering A Multi-Year Infra Super-Cycle
India is entering a multi-year infra cycle growth led by robust growth in sectors like highways and roads, airports and aviation, seaports, maritime and logistics, energy and power, data centres and digital infrastructure, green hydrogen and emerging fuels, etc.
“Infrastructure investment in India is expected to grow substantially in the coming years, with InvITs likely to manage close to Rs 25 lakh crore in assets by 2030. This expansion is underpinned by predictable, contract-based revenue streams that usually provide pre-tax yields of around 10-12% and post-tax returns of roughly 7-9%, generally higher than many conventional fixed-income instruments,” stated Abhishek Banerjee, Investment manager on smallcase, and founder of LotusDew.
“For equity markets, infrastructure has clearly transitioned from a cyclical opportunity to a structural, long-duration growth theme aligned with India’s ambition of becoming a top-three global economy by 2047. We can expect Infra to remain a dominant market theme for the rest of the decade,” added Pankaj Singh, Investment manager on smallcase, and Founder, Principal Researcher -SmartWealth.ai.
Key Infrastructure To Watch: Highway, Airports, Aviation, Maritime, Energy, Power, More
As India’s infrastructure sector stands at a pivotal moment in 2025, these key sectors and themes are likely to dominate in the next five years, as per Smallcase.
Highways & Roads
India’s road infrastructure remains at the centre of the capex cycle. The national highway network is likely to reach 146,342 km and annual construction will consistently remain above 10,000-11,000 km. Rising order books, predictable government capex and a deep pipeline under Vision 2047 will continue to benefit EPC/HAM developers, cement and steel suppliers.
Aviation
As the Indian population is gradually shifting to air travel, the country’s domestic aviation ecosystem is set to expand at the fastest global rates in the coming years. The operational airports will rise from 74 in 2014 to 163+ in 2025. The aviation and airport sector is set to boom as passenger traffic has rebounded sharply, crossing 150 million domestically and 202 million overall.
Seaports, Maritime, Logistics
Products like Sagarmala-driven reforms, logistics expansion, multimodal integration, mechanisation, coastal shipping, etc, will ensure growth in seaports, maritime and logistics.
Port-led industrialisation, a Rs 25,000 crore Maritime Fund, and logistics parks continue to lift prospects for port operators, container terminals, integrated logistics firms, warehousing, cold-chain and hinterland transport players.
Energy, Power
With India’s GDP growth set to rise at a strong pace, the demand for power and consumption growth will continue at a strong pace. Rising demand, investment in transmission corridors, smart grids, hybrid parks and storage systems are creating long-duration order visibility. Whereas policy support through PLI schemes, RE parks and early hydrogen pilots is driving growth for renewable EPCs, turbine/inverter makers, transmission utilities and battery-storage developers.
Data Centres
India’s data-centre capacity has surged from ~350 MW (2019) to 1,030 MW (2024) and is on track for 1,700 MW by 2025, supported by cloud adoption, AI/ML workloads, data localisation and hyperscaler expansion.
Green Hydrogen
As India plans to fulfil its energy consumption targets and attempt to shift to clean energy, green hydrogen demand is set to increase in the coming years. With a 5 MTPA target by 2030, India’s National Green Hydrogen Mission is accelerating early investments, electrolyser manufacturing and industrial pilots across steel, refineries and fertilizers.