Meteorologists attribute the slowdown to atmospheric conditions high above the Earth’s surface rather than a lack of moisture over surrounding seas. A key factor is the westerly jet stream, which has shifted farther south than it normally does during the monsoon season.
This southward shift is interfering with the easterly jet stream, a crucial component that supports rising air currents and thunderstorm development over India. The stronger westerly winds are suppressing cloud growth and rainfall formation, even though moisture remains abundant over the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal.
Experts describe the current situation as a temporary “monsoon pause” caused by upper-atmospheric dynamics. Forecast models indicate that rainfall activity may gradually recover later in the week as wind patterns begin to realign and monsoon circulation strengthens once again.