The biggest challenge for parties in Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 is the rebellion after ticket distribution. In 2020 also rebel candidates had spoiled the equations in several seats. This time too, the impact of rebels in 20-25 seats can affect the results.
Patna: The Bihar Assembly Elections 2025’s call has intensified. The Election Commission is expected to announce election dates in the first week of October. Political parties have started finalizing their strategies. But this time too, the biggest challenge for the parties will be a ‘rebellion’ that grows after ticket distribution. In many seats, rebel candidates can not only change the equation but can also show guarantee of victory of big leaders.
2020 experience, 2025 concern
In the last assembly election too, the rebels had destroyed the wishes of many veterans. Rebel candidates got 30 to 60 thousand votes in seats in areas like Patna, Purnia, Muzaffarpur, Siwan and Saharsa. Because of this, the candidates of big parties lost the election by a slight margin. Seats like Meenapur, Kasba, Sikta, Ekma, Baikunthpur and Maharajganj are a big example of this. These results proved that the role of rebels in Bihar politics is not limited to “vote cutting”, but they can prove to be a real game overturning player.
Patna and surrounding seats hotspots
The names of BJP’s Gyanendra Singh Gyanu and Lallu Mukhiya are in discussion in the flood assembly seat of the capital Patna district. Political experts say that if there is an imbalance in ticket distribution, then independents can make the election triangular. The history of Lokha seat has also been a witness to rebellion. Pramod Priyadarshi contested from BJP in 2015 and LJP in 2020. Last time he collected 30 thousand votes and JDU had to face defeat.
Rebellion echoes from Seemanchal to Mithilanchal
In 2020 in Kasba area of Purnia, Pradeep Das won 60 thousand votes on LJP ticket and changed the entire equation here. Similarly, in Meenapur, Ajay Kumar contested from LJP for not getting a ticket from BJP and took more than 43 thousand votes and pushed JDU back. Independent Dilip Verma finished second in Sikta assembly constituency while JDU was reduced to third place.
Women candidates and new generation also in the field
Komal Singh, daughter of JDU MLC Dinesh Singh, was the last LJP candidate in Gaighat seat of Muzaffarpur. This time also he has a claim. At the same time, the son of former MLA Maheshwar Yadav is also standing in the ticket queue. Recently, a sharp clash between the two groups in the NDA program has indicated that the rebellion here is almost certain.
‘Fire’ in Chakai, Ara and Digha also
Sumit Singh, who has won independents from Chakai, is now claiming JDU ticket. While local leader Sanjay Prasad is also in the race. Political pundits believe that the situation can heat up after ticket distribution here. The Digha and Kumharar seats of the capital are also considered hotspots for rebels this time. Many names on both seats are in discussion and dissatisfaction is clearly visible.
Why is there a rebellion?
- Lack of transparency in ticket distribution
- Local leaders and workers ignore
- Role of money power and external pressure
- On getting tickets to external candidates, resentment, these reasons are pushed to the leaders in every election on the path of rebellion.
Small parties game
Small parties have also been accused of “selling” tickets. Many times old leaders join another party in hope that you will get tickets. When disappointment is felt, they get down independents and distribute votes. This worsens the equation of larger parties and gives unexpected benefits to the opposition.
How many seats are affected in 2025?
Political experts believe that rebel candidates in 20 to 25 seats can affect the election this time. The impact of rebellion will be seen the most on seats like Dumraon, Karhgar, Ara, Mahua, Danapur, Digha and Kumharrar.
Crisis on the strategy of parties
Be it NDA or Grand Alliance, this challenge is equal to both. Both alliances want to field candidates who have the highest probability of winning, but the long queue of contenders has spoiled the balance. After ticket distribution, the dissidents are almost certain to enter the ground.
Big impact on results
It is clear from the 2020 experience that the difference of win-defeat in many seats was only 10 to 15 thousand votes. The rebels created this difference. If the same situation remains the same in 2025, then many big leaders will remain doubtful about their “confirmed victory” till the last moment.