According to Kerala Exit Poll 2026, UDF may form the government. Out of 140 seats, UDF is expected to get 78-90 seats and LDF is expected to get 49-62 seats. BJP may get 0-3 seats, which indicates a change of power in the state.
Kerala Exit Poll Result 2026: After voting ended in all 5 states, on April 29, various survey agencies released exit poll estimates. According to the results, this time UDF government seems to be formed in Kerala. Let us tell you that voting took place in Kerala in one phase on 9 April.
Who will get how many seats in Kerala?
According to the exit polls of Axis My India, LDF is expected to get 49-62 seats out of 140 seats in Kerala. At the same time, UDF can get 78-90 seats. BJP is predicted to get 0-3 seats. That is, this time in Kerala, Pinarayi Vijayan’s government seems to be going down, while the UDF alliance with Congress may come to power.
Kerala: What was predicted in the exit poll of 2021?
In the exit poll results of the 2021 Kerala Assembly elections, most of the survey agencies had predicted a landslide return to power for the Pinarayi Vijayan-led ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF). The magic figure of majority to form the government in the 140-seat Kerala Assembly was 71. Many major survey agencies had predicted a clear or close to two-thirds majority for the LDF. At the same time, in some other exit polls, a very tough contest was predicted between the main opposition party – United Democratic Front (UDF) and LDF, although the lead was given to the Left.
What was the election result after exit poll?
The actual results of Kerala confirmed the predictions of exit polls and for the first time since 1977, a coalition formed the government for the second consecutive time. Pinarayi Vijayan-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) made a historic return to power by winning 99 seats. The main opposition alliance UDF received 41 seats. NDA also failed to open its account and its vote percentage also fell.
What is Exit Poll?
Exit poll is a type of sample survey, which is conducted immediately after voting. Its purpose is to understand which party or candidate the voters voted for and what their inclination is.
How Exit Poll is Conducted
A fixed questionnaire is prepared for the exit poll. In this the candidate, constituency and local issues are kept in mind. Trained survey teams stand outside the polling stations and ask questions to the people going out to vote and collect their opinions.
How is information taken from voters (Voter Survey Process)
During the survey, voters are asked about their preferences in a confidential manner. Its purpose is to understand what is in their mind. In this, special care is taken that the identity of the people is not revealed and they can give their opinion openly.
Importance of Sampling in Exit Poll
Sampling is very important in exit polls. It is designed in such a way that it includes voters from both urban and rural areas. With this, every section of the society can get proper representation and the results can become more balanced.
Data Analysis and Prediction
The data collected during the survey is later analyzed in detail. On this basis, it is estimated how many seats a party can get and in which direction the election trend can go.
How accurate are exit polls (Accuracy of Exit Polls)
Exit poll results are released after voting ends, giving an initial picture. However, it is not necessary that exit polls prove to be completely correct every time. Sometimes their estimates may differ from the actual results.