New Delhi: America has asked its two trusted allies a question the answer of which could determine the next geopolitical picture of the world.
The question that the United States has asked is what would be the role of these two associates if America enters a war with China on the Taiwan issue? Both these countries are members of the QUAD alliance of which India is also a member.
Why is the question so crucial?
Now, it is worth a mention that why has America out such a question to its two allies? The first thought that comes to mind is a possible armed conflict between America and China on the issue of Taiwan especially when the world is already witnessing the Russia-Ukraine war, Israel-Hamas conflict, and Iran-Israel tensions?
China and America have been at odds on the Taiwan issue for a long time and Washington has always portrayed itself as the sole saviour of the island nation. Under the Taiwan Relations Act (1979), the US provides Taiwan with defense equipment and support to ensure its security.
What does the US demand from its two allies?
The US policy towards Taiwan has been of “strategic ambiguity”, that is, it does not make it clear whether it will intervene militarily in the event of an attack on Taiwan. This policy has been formulated to stop China and control tensions. In recent years, the US has increased arms sales to Taiwan. Apart from this, through alliances like QUAD, the US has tried to counter China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific. But now the US is becoming vocal and asking questions.
According to a report in the Financial Times, top diplomat in the Ministry of Defense, Elbridge Colby, has said that this question is also a message for China. It says that the USA is demanding these countries to increase defense spending and make concrete plans for a possible conflict, so that the strategy of deterrence can be made effective. The geographical location and military capabilities of Australia and Japan can be important in the Taiwan conflict, especially in the context of AUKUS and other defense agreements. AUKUS is a trilateral security partnership between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
What do Australia and Japan say over America’s question?
Both Australia and Japan are close military partners of the US, but the people and governments of both countries are cautious about getting caught in a major war. For this reason, they are avoiding making any open commitment in this matter and are talking about maintaining peace and status quo in the region.
However, this demand of America is making both the countries uncomfortable, as they want to balance trade and diplomatic relations with China. Australia has refused to answer “hypothetical questions”, while Japan has also said that it is difficult to answer such questions based on future circumstances.
Why is Australian PM in China?
Meanwhile, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is on a visit to China. He has said that Australia’s largest export partner is China and China wants to take this trade friendship forward.
According to experts, the Taiwan issue is the biggest military ‘flashpoint’ of the present time, where the possibility of conventional or nuclear war is considered the highest. Although most analysts believe that the possibility of war has definitely increased, but at present its possibility is low. Both China and America know that war over Taiwan would mean disastrous for the global economy and stability.